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100 W. Mulberry
Kaufman, TX 75142
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Severe Weather Threat Increases by Sunday

The Kaufman County Office of Emergency Management brings you the weekend forecast from the National Weather Service in Fort Worth.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible beginning Sunday evening and continuing into the early morning hours Monday. The greatest threat for severe weather will be roughly from the DFW Metroplex northeastward, but isolated severe storms are possible farther west and also south into Central Texas. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, however large hail (1”) and isolated tornadoes will also be possible.

Overview

  • A cold front will approach the region late Sunday afternoon and move through overnight.
  • The area should remain capped and storm-free for much of the day Sunday.
  • Isolated to scattered storms are expected to form along the cold front late in the day. These storms will then expand south along the front as it moves across the region.
  • The primary threat will be damaging wind gusts, but isolated instances of large hail and spin-up tornadoes are possible, especially east of I-35W and north of I-20 Sunday evening.
  • The line of storms should gradually weaken in the early morning hours as it moves into deep East and Central Texas.

Additional severe weather is possible again next week. The next threat will be Tuesday afternoon and evening associated with a north moving warm front, then again Wednesday along another cold front. We are still uncertain about the finer details of these systems at this time.

What We Are Certain Of: 

  • Strong to severe thunderstorms will develop along a cold front by Sunday evening.
  • The ingredients for severe weather will be in place, especially for areas near, north and east of the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex.

What We Are Less Certain Of:

  • How quickly individual supercells merge into a line of storms. If storms spend a longer period of time as individual supercells, the large hail and tornado potential may increase. 
  • Exact timing of the cap aloft eroding and location of storm initiation. It is possible storms develop in western portions of North Texas.
  • How far south along the cold front into Central TX storms
  • can develop.

Additional Resources 

NWS Fort Worth Homepage http://www.weather.gov/fortworth

Hourly Forecasts (Click your location) https://www.weather.gov/forecastpoints

NWS Fort Worth Weather Tabs https://arcg.is/1S19nH

NWS Fort Worth Hazard Pages http://www.weather.gov/fwd/hazardplanner?nort,TODAY

NWSChat http://nwschat.weather.gov/live 

Who’s eligible for NWSChat https://nwschat.weather.gov/NWSChat_Terms_of_Use.pdf 

NWS Fort Worth Briefing Page https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=fd06a2bea0a64f0c90842761191e985b

See more HERE.